El Niño and the Southern Oscillation

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چکیده

During 1877 and 1878 much of China was struck by famine, due to a severe drought. More than nine million people perished. In India, at the same time, more than eight million deaths were attributed to famine also caused by a drought. In many districts, a quarter of the population died. Drought in the same period also caused crop failures, scarcity of food or even famine, in north-eastern Brazil, Egypt, Indonesia, Fiji, Australia, and southern Africa. In other parts of the world, including Ceylon, the Pacific coast of South America, and Tahiti, many lives were lost from unusual storms or extended periods of heavy rain and flood. The El Niño Southern Oscillation, a major pattern of climate variation, links these climatic extremes in different parts of the world; the first major El Niño event for which good records exist was the 1877 event. Subsequent El Niño events have often reproduced the pattern of climate extremes and societal impacts observed in the 1877 event. We now use the phenomenon to make predictions of seasonal climate variations in many parts of the world.

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تاریخ انتشار 2003